Five Statements that Hold People Back from Sucess

Posted by admin on June 2, 2009 under Uncategorized | Be the First to Comment

career-promotion-746329

This really has little to do with Commercial Real Estate – I don’t care, because I like it, and want you all to read it also.

-TD

The five statements that hold people back from success:

“I am doing the best I can”.  This statement does not mean much unless:

1)      You are doing the right thing (that have the biggest return on your time and effort)
2)      You are doing it the right way (there are right ways and wrong ways to get things done)
3)      You are doing it at the right time (timing is everything)

“I have been doing it for over 10 years”. This statement does not mean much unless:

1)      You are learning new and better ways to improve on what you have been doing
2)      You are expanding (whether market share or bottom line profit)
3)      You are building a brand that can eventually be sold for a lot of money (because of name recognition) and/or you are working on building a residual income for the future

“I know this business and it cannot be done that way” This statement does not mean much unless: Read more of this article »

Bookmark and Share

Commercial Lending is NOT Dead….

Posted by admin on under Uncategorized | Be the First to Comment

imagesmoneyhousemediumInteresting post from Deal Junkie -

This morning at a Congressional Oversight Panel Hearing, “The Impact of Economic Recovery Efforts on Corporate and Commercial Real Estate Lending” in New York, Congresswoman Carolyn Maloney said that anecdotal evidence shows “access to commercial credit is absolutely frozen.” Comments like this drive me up the wall. Not only is the statement extremely general, but it is also absolutely not true. The only commercial credit market that is frozen right now is the commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) market, which represents about 25% of the entire commercial real estate debt market, according to research analyst Richard Parkus at Deutsche Bank:

Banks and thrifts account for 50 percent and insurance companies comprise the remaining 25 percent of the lending, Parkus said.

So are the banks lending? Surprise, they are:

Bank lending for commercial projects in the first half of 2009 is on track to hit about $25 billion, according to Matt Anderson at research firm Foresight Analytics in Oakland, Calif.

By way of comparison, commercial loan origination was at pace of $33 billion a quarter at the peak of the market.

Yes, at $25 billion for the first half of 2009, bank lending for commercial real estate is low compared to the peak year. But we are not at the peak of the market, are we? And, according to the New York Fed, demand for commercial real estate loans is at a all-time low:

The same cannot be said for loan demand. The SLOOS reports that the net fraction of loan officers reporting weaker demand in April 2009 was 60% for C&I and 66% for CRE loans, a historical low for CRE demand. Weak demand bears emphasis, as it indicates that the observed slowdown in overall credit is partly due to firms’ reluctance to borrow, and not entirely to banks reluctance to lend.

One of those days, maybe people will realize that the CMBS market doesn’t represent the entire commercial real estate debt market. I’m not counting on that though. You can review all the COP hearing testimonies here.

Bookmark and Share
Powered by Front Line Industry